Category Archives: The Issues

P3 – Public Pocketbook Pauperization

Reading that Abbotsford City Council is working on a P3 my first thought was ‘Hasn’t council done enough financial damage to the city and to taxpayers pocketbooks’?

My second thought was to be glad I was not a homeowner.

??? – The taxes and costs imposed by Abbotsford council have raised the cost of owning a home in Abbotsford. These costs show no sign of stopping or slowing under the current city council and staff’s demonstrated unwillingness and/or inability to get the city’s finances under control. The proposed P3 will significantly increase the yearly cost of city taxes/fees/levies when taxpayers begin paying for the P3 in a few years.

The concern is that the cost of the P3 will push the level of city taxes/fees/levies to the point where the cost will make owning property in Abbotsford unaffordable to many potential new taxpayers as well as some current taxpayers. This will have a negative effect on the real estate market; on both price and the time it takes to sell.

Knowing that the P3 is coming, that it will impose significantly higher cost and hit the real estate market – are you going to be able to afford the additional carrying costs of owning property in Abbotsford or should you be selling and getting out of town while the getting is good?

My next thought was that this time I hoped council and staff would cross all their t’s and dot all their i’s so that taxpayers would not find themselves once again, ala Plan A, promised millions of dollars in senior government funding that never materializes. Hoping that some taxpayer would not be asking Ed Fast why he did not get Abbotsford federal funds only to have him reply, as he did when asked that question about Plan A, “I was never asked.”

Finally I thought to myself ‘nice try George but no cigar’ for the mayor’s seeming attempt to suggest going with a P3 would make the project eligible for up to $50 million in federal funds. Let’s be clear that the federal funding is due to the nature of the project and has nothing to do with how the project (P3 or otherwise) is paid for.

P3’s are loved by politicians for a number of reasons, foremost among them being a total lack of accountability to the public or evaluation by the public.

Politicians can operate behind closed doors and keep the details, and thus the costs, totally secret because citizens lose their right to freedom of information about the details of an agreement when private business interests are involved. By definition a P3 has to have private business interests which means P3s are cloaked in secrecy leaving taxpayers questions unanswered.

Being veiled in secrecy as P3 agreements are, strips away taxpayers right and ability to evaluate and judge how detrimental the P3 will be to the public’s pocketbooks.

The second reason politicians have for loving P3 agreements is that spreading costs over time – a decade’s long period of time – ensures the public is unable to know what a P3 project actually cost them out of pocket until decades after the project begins at the time the project is finally fully paid out. How could politicians not love a plan that, no matter how bad the agreement is and how many millions or hundreds of millions or even a billion extra dollars it will cost taxpayers the veil of secrecy hides the details of the P3 from the public, ensuring that the public cannot know how many millions or hundreds of millions extra dollars they paid until long after the politicians are gone, retired on their golden government pensions.

Mayor Peary, following Abbotsford Council policy when someone fails to cheer council’s plans, or worse raises questions as to the wisdom of council’s plan, played the naysayer card.

“Some people have a political and philosophical objection to P3s,” he [Mayor Peary] said.

I had no political or philosophical objections to Plan A – I had financial objections and objections based on the infrastructure needs of the city. I have no political or philosophical objections to P3’s – I have financial objections.

The question is not whether a P3 will cost the public more money, extra cost to the public purse is inherent in the nature of a P3. There has to be a profit for the private partner, a profit that must be guaranteed and substantial enough to make the headaches and risks of a ‘partnership’ with the government/public worthwhile.

P3 projects also have longer time lines to ensure the private partner has no difficulty in meeting the completion date. The fact that Abbotsford’s new regional hospital was completed 108 days early is not an indication of how efficient the builder was but how effective the builder was at bargaining an overly generous completion schedule.

However, the factor that adds the millions or hundreds of millions of dollars of extra cost to the projects and to taxpayer out of pocket cost is the financing costs. Financing costs are a significant portion of the costs of any long term project (look at the financing costs of Plan A for an example of the high cost of financing).

Because the financing for P3s is provided by the private partner and interest rates for private borrowers are higher than for governments, the financing (interest) costs of P3 projects are higher than they would be for a public financed project.

These increased interest/financing costs add millions or hundreds of millions of dollars to the interest costs of P3 projects.

I would love to be able to discuss specifics of the increased costs involved in P3 projects but I can’t, no citizen can. The details of the BC governments P3s are hidden from the public until everything has been paid out decades from now.

Over his term in office Mayor Peary has made many statements that made many an accountant or manager’s blood run cold because of the negative impact these statements would have on the city’s finances and on taxpayer’s pocket books.

But “He [Mayor Peary] pointed to the Abbotsford Regional Hospital and Cancer Centre as an example of success, calling it the “poster child” for P3s” dwarfs any of those statements in its promise to deny taxpayers any ability to evaluate the agreement and in the millions of extra dollars it will cost Abbotsford’s battered and impoverished taxpayers.

Taxpayers need to keep in mind that the Abbotsford Regional Hospital and Cancer Centre P3 that mayor Peary calls a “’poster child’ for P3s” was so generous and profitable for the private sector that the agreement became a financial instrument bought and sold among international banks.

While that level of profitability undoubtedly makes the Abbotsford Regional Hospital and Cancer Centre P3 a ‘poster child’ from the viewpoint of the private sector, it makes it a pricey cautionary tale for taxpayers when politicians try to sell them more snake oil.

By the very nature of a P3, using a P3 to build the needed water system improvements will cost taxpayers millions of dollars extra in interest charges alone. How many more millions it will cost depend on negotiation ability – or lack thereof of staff and council.

The staff and council who built the Reach for $10 million; a structure that any farmer in the valley who has built a barn could have managed and built for a fraction of the cost. The staff and council who built the AESC with a promised, a sworn to $55 million cost for only $110 million – double the guaranteed ‘contracted price’.

As to Abbotsford city staff and council and P3s:

The deal between the City of Abbotsford and the Abbotsford Heat is, for all intents and purposes, a P3. So since Mayor Peary, staff and council are speaking about using a P3 – let us take a look at the deal between the Heat and the City.

Abbotsford’s taxpayers have no idea what the Abbotsford Heat are in fact costing them. Taxpayers have no facts as to the number of taxpayer’s dollars being poured directly, or indirectly (staff time spent on the Heat but paid by the city – for example. ARC where space and staff promote the Heat and provide box office services) into the Heat. Taxpayers have only rumours about the ownership of the Heat and cannot determine if the city is directly involved in/with Heat ownership. A recent Freedom of Information request to provide clarity on these questions was refused because of the involvement of private interests.

Why would local politicians not embrace a P3 to bail themselves out of the mess they have made of managing the city’s infrastructure and finances; of their inability to prioritize projects that address needs (water, road maintenance) over council and councillor’s ego projects (million dollar, unused garden; a professional hockey team and a building for them to play in); a P3 that will hide all the details of the agreement from the public.

A P3 will deny taxpayers their right to know the total out of pocket costs to taxpayers of the project – an out of pocket cost that a P3 will add millions of dollars to.

Why would Abbotsford’s and Mission’s politicians worry about the fact that a P3 will add millions of dollars to the cost to taxpayers? After all the politicians will be long, decades long, gone before the final payment is made and taxpayers can determine just how many more millions of dollars Abbotsford’s council poor financial decision making cost them.

Clearly a P3 is not a decision to be rushed into; particularly not rushed into merely so Abbotsford city council can say (during the upcoming municipal elections?) “no need for taxpayers to worry their little heads – we have taken care of the water matter” (now where have I heard that kind of line in a municipal election before?); not a decision to be made behind closed doors.

A P3 will impose not only substantial costs for decades, but the costs imposed on the taxpayers of Abbotsford (and Mission) will be significantly higher than the costs of a well managed municipal project (the most important factor affecting the cost of a public project being the level of management skill available to bring to the project).

Indeed, considering the secrecy involved, the inability of taxpayers to evaluate the P3 as a result of being denied the details by that secrecy and the millions of dollars that a P3 will cost the taxpayers of Abbotsford and Mission……

……if Abbotsford council and staff are determined to forge ahead with a P3 it is a decision that should be deferred to give the taxpayers, who will be paying for the P3, a chance to have their say on whether to use a P3 in November’s upcoming municipal election.

HST – the cost of repealing

I do not know if Mr. Vander Zalm is feeble minded or so focused on beating and/or beating up on the BC Liberals that he does not care what the consequences for the province and citizens of BC are. But at this point in time arguing the question of whether Vander Zalm is a lackwit or a scoundrel is as trivial and wasteful as arguing 2 months or closer to 18 months to discontinue the HST and bring back the PST + GST tax systems.

The referendum on the HST is June 24, 2011. This means that should British Columbians vote to repeal the HST the province will not receive the final $475 million payment for becoming a HST province that is due from the federal government on July 1, 2011.

Now, to Mr. Vander Zalm the loss of $475 million of revenue may be inconsequential or nothing for the taxpayers of BC to be concerned about. However I consider this first consequence of repealing the HST and the cuts that will have to be made to health care and education to offset this loss a significant and major consequence.

The next consequence, should Mr. Vander Zalm actually prove to have a magic wand that would enable the federal and provincial governments to end the single tax HST and bring back the dual taxes of the PST + GST in one or two months time, is the loss of the $300 million extra dollars the HST would put in provincial coffers this year and the addition of the $50 million cost of collecting and administering the PST (a cost that under the HST is currently borne by the federal government).

Meaning an additional $350 million will have to be cut out of health care and education. Or the entire $825 (475 + 350) million could be offset by closing down the provincial court and prison systems.

Now, Mr. Vander Zalm may not consider a loss of revenue that would require shutting down the provincial court and jail system to offset to be a significant enough consequence to be concerned about in repealing the HST – personally I do.

In all honesty (I know, a novel concept in a political fight) I do not expect the $350 million per year loss of revenue + increased cost to have an effect before next year’s (2012 – 2013) budget. The need to replace the single HST form with two new (old) GST and PST forms, to procure and distribute the forms to all businesses in the province and to hire the staff to collect and administer the PST (remember the federal government is responsible for collecting the HST and remitting to BC their portion) plus the need of businesses to reprogram their cash registers/computers, to change accounting systems back to two separate taxes, to get the new forms….. There was good reason that the HST took all those months to implement.

Whether Mr. Vander Zalm is simply clueless, hasn’t bothered to give this matter any thought or would rather befuddle and distract the voters by arguing 2 versus 18 months to get rid of the HST and reinstate the PST + GST rather than face the multi-billion dollar effect repealing the HST will have on BC is a matter the reader will have to judge for themselves.

Although BC, should the result of the referendum be a HST repeal, will not receive the final payment of $475 million and thus not be liable for repayment of that amount BC will be liable for repaying the $1.1 Billion already received (and spent) for becoming a HST province.

Despite Mr. Vander Zalm’s airy dismissal of this debt the fact is that these funds were paid to BC as part of the HST agreement and that in reneging on the HST agreement the federal government is due repayment in full. Forget claims of ‘negotiation’.

The federal government is not about to set an unwelcome precedent for provinces taking their (the feds) money and reneging on agreements. The federal government will want repayment in full and since they can get their money back by simply reducing federal transfer payments to BC by $1.1 Billion Mr. Vander Zalm’s spurious claims of ‘negotiating’ or not having to repay the full $1.1 Billion are just so much Politician’s BS. The Province of BC will have to cut the $1.1 Billion out of budget spending because the feds will get their money back and there is nothing the province can do to prevent that.

Repealing the HST will impose a major financial indirect cost on the province of BC in the form of an increase in borrowing costs. Potentially a rather significant cost given the budget deficits BC is running and the increasing debt levels of the province of BC.

Repeal of the HST is a taxpayers revolt, a rollback of the tax increase effected by the switch to the HST and the fact that the provincial portion of the HST applies to more items than under the PST.

How are those who lend to the province repaid? Out of tax revenues.

BC is running large billion dollar deficits and taxpayers are refusing even a modest $300 million dollar tax rise to pay for provincial spending. Indeed, at the same time taxpayers are refusing to pay this modest tax increase they are demanding more healthcare and education spending.

Factor in the budget and financial chaos and damage the immediate loss of $475 million, the $300 million yearly reduction of revenue, the $50 million dollar cost of administering the PST and the $1.1 Billion dollar repayment to the federal government……and from the view of those with funds to loan, loaning BC money involves increased risk.

The perception of increased risk means an increased cost of borrowing. That the HST referendum is being held will increase BC’s cost of borrowing. Should the HST be repealed, a further premium will be added to the cost for BC to borrow.

Part of that premium will result from the perception that the BC government can no longer be counted on keep their agreements. And what that perception will cost businesses in BC, the government of BC and ultimately the taxpayers of BC only time will tell.

As I said, whether Bill Vander Zalm is a lackwit or a scoundrel is a rather trivial consideration at this moment, considering the devastation Vandr Zalm will have inflicted on the government and citizens of BC should he succeed in repealing the HST – once the consequences of repealing the HST come home to roost.

While there may be an element of truth to accusations that Premier-designate Christy Clark and Finance Minister Colin Hansen are fear-mongering (fear-mongering being a favourite tool of politicians) I have no doubt that Clark and Hansen are themselves (as is any British Columbian who understands the consequences of a HST repeal) afraid of the consequences of an HST repeal. Especially as they are the people who will be faced with dealing with the financial mess a repeal will bring about.

One final comment on this matter – Mr. Vander Zalm’s partners in crime. It does not matter whether the NDP’s support of repealing the HST signifies an abysmal lack of any comprehension of financial realities or a desperation to win the next election at any cost, no matter how devastating to the province and taxpayers. Either possibility disqualifies the NDP (without major changes in candidates and leadership) from being entrusted with

“I am a taxpayer and I’m entitled …

The television news report on Royal Columbian Hospital using Tim Hortons for emergency patients had an on camera interview with a daughter who’s mother was one of the patients in Tim Hortons who stated “how awful that you’ve been a taxpayer all of your life … that your end days are with that kind of quality of care … there is no excuse for that, I think they should be ashamed.”

I have heard, I suspect we have all heard – perhaps have stated ourselves – variations on the ‘I’m a taxpayer! What am I paying taxes for? I have paid taxes all my life……….

I had just spoken to a class at UFV on affordable housing, homelessness, addiction, mental illness, poverty and related social issues stating that these were not problems but consequences of both the way politics is practiced and the way though is practiced. More accurately about what we ‘know’ or what is ‘known’ or ‘common knowledge’ and how if we applied thought to these matters we would find or realize reality is markedly different from what is ‘known’.

When I heard the ‘been a taxpayer all my life’ statement I found myself examining the implications, the entitlement, contained in that statement. While the statement has the appearance or semblance of truth, when one carefully examines, carefully considers the statement it becomes clear that all it has is the appearance of truth.

The underlying fiscal reality for those who have paid taxes all their life is that what they are entitled to is CPP. The chart of Canada’s national debt below shows clearly that only those who retired prior to 1944 can make claims upon the federal government beyond CPP.

Year                                       Federal Debt

Prior to WW II                  $0

1944                                    $ 8,000,000,000

1961-62                             $ 14,825,000,000

1970-71                            $ 20,293,000,000

1980-81                              $ 91,948,000,000

1990-91                             $377,656,000,000

1996-97                            $562,881,000,000

2001-02                           $511,946,000,000

2007-08                          $457,637,000,000

2008-09                          $463,710,000,000

2009-10                          $519,100, 000,000

2010-11                           $522,337, 000,000 (projected)

2011-12                           $535,237, 000,000 (projected)

2012-13                          $542,537, 000,000 (projected)

If you purchase something for $1,500 and you pay out $1500 it is yours as you have paid out the full price of your purchase and are entitled to benefit from your purchase.

If you buy the something for $1500 and only pay $1200 you still owe $300 that must be paid and until you pay the final $300 you are not entitled to your purchase.

Beginning in 1944 Canadian taxpayers have been paying only a portion of the price of their ‘purchases’ of federal government services, borrowing to cover the remaining cost of the federal services ‘purchased’, putting the balance on a federal credit card- a balance that remains to be paid, a balance that continues to grow.

So, while taxpayers have paid taxes all their lives they have failed to pay sufficient taxes to cover the cost of the federal government . Taxpayers have avoided paying the full tab by running deficits, adding the outstanding unpaid yearly balances to the federal debt.

Every Canadian man, woman or child has/owes their portion of the federal debt, the debt of the province they reside in and the debt of the municipality they live in.

So while Canadians may be entitled to the CPP they paid into, the only ones entitled to anything else from the federal, provincial or municipal governments are those who loaned money to these governmental bodies and are entitled to repayment of principal plus interest.

Receiving medical care in Tim Hortons is a consequence of the decisions taxpayers have made (spending on the Winter Olympic venues rather than hospitals), together with years of choosing not to pay the full cost of all the services they were receiving from government.

If Canadians don’t want to be receiving medical care in Tim Hortons or hospital hallways they need to make better choices, to be willing to make hard decisions, face fiscal realities, understand we cannot have everything we want ‘right now’ and be willing to pay the full cost of the services etc we want (receive) from federal, provincial and municipal governments.

If Canadians don’t change our behaviours, choices and decision making, the days when you got medical services in the Tim Hortons at Royal Columbian are going to be the ‘good old days’ of public health care.